Tuesday 31 January 2017, 22:00
Anfield
Full time
33%
26%
40%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
40.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Chelsea | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
7.8
|
6.4
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.3
|
8.8
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
7.9
|
6.0
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.6
|
2.7
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Chelsea
Oct 2025
Chelsea
2-1
Liverpool
May 2025
Chelsea
3-1
Liverpool
Oct 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Chelsea
Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-1
Chelsea
Aug 2023
Chelsea
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.