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Tuesday 27 December 2016, 19:15 Anfield Full time
76% 15% 9%
Home win
76.2%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
8.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 76.2% 1.31
Draw 15.2% 6.60
Stoke City 8.7% 11.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.60
Over 1.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.1% 7.66
Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47
Under 2.5 31.8% 3.14
Over 3.5 46.6% 2.15
Under 3.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 4.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 4.5 72.3% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 91.3% 1.10
Liverpool / Stoke City 84.8% 1.18
Draw / Stoke City 23.8% 4.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
7.6
7.0
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
10.7
8.9
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.6
8.0
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.4
5.3
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.5
2.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.