Tuesday 27 December 2016, 19:15
Anfield
Full time
76%
15%
9%
Home win
76.2%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
8.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.2% | 6.60 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 8.7% | 11.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.1% | 7.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Stoke City | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
7.0
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
8.9
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.4
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.5
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Liverpool
0-0
Stoke City
Nov 2017
Stoke City
0-3
Liverpool
Apr 2017
Stoke City
1-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.