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Saturday 28 April 2018, 14:30 Anfield Full time
81% 13% 6%
Home win
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
6.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 81.3% 1.23
Draw 12.7% 7.87
Stoke City 6.0% 16.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.61
Over 1.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.6% 7.96
Over 2.5 69.1% 1.45
Under 2.5 30.9% 3.24
Over 3.5 47.8% 2.09
Under 3.5 52.2% 1.91
Over 4.5 28.7% 3.48
Under 4.5 71.3% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.7% 2.10
No 52.3% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 94.0% 1.06
Liverpool / Stoke City 87.3% 1.15
Draw / Stoke City 18.7% 5.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
7.8
6.0
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
11.6
8.1
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
11.1
7.8
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
8.0
5.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
4.6
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.