Saturday 28 April 2018, 14:30
Anfield
Full time
81%
13%
6%
Home win
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
6.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.7% | 7.87 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 6.0% | 16.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.6% | 7.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Stoke City | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
6.0
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
8.1
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.1
|
7.8
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.0
|
5.6
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Nov 2017
Stoke City
0-3
Liverpool
Apr 2017
Stoke City
1-2
Liverpool
Dec 2016
Liverpool
4-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.