Saturday 17 March 2018, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
80%
13%
7%
Home win
79.6%
Draw
13.1%
Away win
7.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.1% | 7.66 | — | — |
| Watford | 7.3% | 13.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 39.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.3% | 9.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.1% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Watford | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
8.2
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
8.1
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-5
Liverpool
Feb 2020
Watford
3-0
Liverpool
Dec 2019
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Liverpool
5-0
Watford
Nov 2018
Watford
0-3
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.