Sunday 11 February 2018, 18:30
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
22%
24%
54%
Home win
21.5%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
54.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.8% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.9% | 5.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Southampton / Liverpool | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
9.4
|
9.2
|
5.6
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
11.4
|
9.9
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
5.8
|
5.3
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
2.1
|
1.9
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
2-3
Liverpool
May 2023
Southampton
4-4
Liverpool
Nov 2022
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
May 2022
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Nov 2021
Liverpool
4-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.