Saturday 3 February 2018, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
39%
32%
29%
Home win
38.8%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
28.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Southampton | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.6% | 6.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| West Brom / Southampton | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.6
|
11.5
|
5.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
14.2
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
7.3
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Oct 2020
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Oct 2017
Southampton
1-0
West Brom
Apr 2017
West Brom
0-1
Southampton
Dec 2016
Southampton
1-2
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.