Wednesday 31 January 2018, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
79%
15%
6%
Home win
79.3%
Draw
14.5%
Away win
6.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
| West Brom | 6.2% | 16.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Manchester City / West Brom | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
6.9
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.9
|
8.3
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.9
|
7.1
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.6
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.9
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
West Brom
0-5
Manchester City
Dec 2020
Manchester City
1-1
West Brom
Oct 2017
West Brom
2-3
Manchester City
May 2017
Manchester City
3-1
West Brom
Oct 2016
West Brom
0-4
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.