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Wednesday 27 December 2017, 21:45 St James' Park Full time
10% 17% 72%
Home win
10.3%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
72.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle 10.3% 9.76
Draw 17.5% 5.72
Manchester City 72.3% 1.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.40
Over 1.5 83.6% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.4% 6.10
Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 3.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 3.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 4.5 22.3% 4.49
Under 4.5 77.7% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle / Draw 27.7% 3.61
Newcastle / Manchester City 82.5% 1.21
Draw / Manchester City 89.7% 1.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
9.2
11.6
9.3
5.6
2.7
1
2.8
8.3
9.4
7.6
4.5
2.2
2
1.3
3.2
3.8
3.1
1.8
0.9
3
0.4
0.9
1.0
0.8
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Newcastle goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.