Sunday 10 December 2017, 18:30
Old Trafford
Full time
42%
29%
30%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
29.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.3% | 9.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Manchester City | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
8.7
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.6
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
8.7
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.9
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Manchester United
2-0
Manchester City
Sep 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Manchester United
Apr 2025
Manchester United
0-0
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-2
Manchester United
Mar 2024
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester United
Oct 2023
Manchester United
0-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.