Tuesday 28 November 2017, 22:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
17%
26%
58%
Home win
16.6%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
57.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.4% | 10.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.1% | 9.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Watford / Manchester United | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.4
|
13.8
|
12.0
|
6.7
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
12.0
|
9.4
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
4.4
|
3.6
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2022
Manchester United
0-0
Watford
Nov 2021
Watford
4-1
Manchester United
Feb 2020
Manchester United
3-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
2-0
Manchester United
Mar 2019
Manchester United
2-1
Watford
Sep 2018
Watford
1-2
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.