Saturday 18 November 2017, 19:30
Old Trafford
Full time
61%
28%
11%
Home win
61.0%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
11.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 11.2% | 8.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.6% | 7.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.4% | 22.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| No | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Newcastle | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.5
|
6.3
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
20.9
|
10.5
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.5
|
7.2
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Newcastle
2-1
Manchester United
Dec 2025
Manchester United
1-0
Newcastle
Apr 2025
Newcastle
4-1
Manchester United
Dec 2024
Manchester United
0-2
Newcastle
May 2024
Manchester United
3-2
Newcastle
Dec 2023
Newcastle
1-0
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.