Sunday 15 October 2017, 18:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
33%
34%
33%
Home win
33.0%
Draw
34.2%
Away win
32.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 32.8% | 3.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.4% | 8.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.9% | 25.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Southampton / Newcastle | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.8
|
13.8
|
6.7
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
14.2
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Southampton
1-3
Newcastle
Aug 2024
Newcastle
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2023
Newcastle
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2022
Southampton
1-4
Newcastle
Mar 2022
Southampton
1-2
Newcastle
Aug 2021
Newcastle
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.