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Saturday 26 August 2017, 17:00 St James' Park Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
42% 31% 28%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
27.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle 41.8% 2.40
Draw 30.6% 3.27
West Ham 27.7% 3.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.20
Over 1.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.4% 2.83
Over 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 2.5 63.1% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.5% 5.72
Under 3.5 82.5% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.41
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle / Draw 72.3% 1.38
Newcastle / West Ham 69.4% 1.44
Draw / West Ham 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
10.0
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.2
14.0
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.6
8.1
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.5
3.3
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Newcastle goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.