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Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:00 Turf Moor Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
46% 28% 27%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
26.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley 46.0% 2.18
Draw 27.5% 3.63
West Ham 26.5% 3.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.63
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 2.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.97
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.71
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley / Draw 73.5% 1.36
Burnley / West Ham 72.5% 1.38
Draw / West Ham 54.0% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
7.6
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
10.9
13.1
6.6
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.6
9.2
4.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
4.2
4.5
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Burnley goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.