Saturday 15 April 2017, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
65%
22%
13%
Home win
65.3%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
12.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Burnley | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.9% | 7.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Everton / Burnley | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
4.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
10.4
|
3.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.7
|
9.6
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.3
|
6.3
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
2-0
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-0
Everton
Apr 2024
Everton
1-0
Burnley
Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Everton
Apr 2022
Burnley
3-2
Everton
Sep 2021
Everton
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.