Sunday 12 March 2017, 18:00
Anfield
Full time
70%
18%
12%
Home win
69.6%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
12.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Burnley | 12.1% | 8.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Burnley | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
8.6
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.6
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
7.6
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.0
|
4.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Burnley
Sep 2025
Burnley
0-1
Liverpool
Feb 2024
Liverpool
3-1
Burnley
Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Liverpool
Feb 2022
Burnley
0-1
Liverpool
Aug 2021
Liverpool
2-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.