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Saturday 4 March 2017, 19:30 Anfield Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
46% 23% 31%
Home win
46.4%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
30.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 46.4% 2.16
Draw 22.9% 4.37
Arsenal 30.7% 3.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.75
Over 1.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.8% 7.84
Over 2.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.6% 3.17
Over 3.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 3.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 4.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 4.5 72.0% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.6% 1.46
No 31.4% 3.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 69.3% 1.44
Liverpool / Arsenal 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Arsenal 53.6% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
4.1
3.6
1.9
0.7
0.2
1
5.2
9.6
7.1
3.7
1.5
0.5
2
5.6
8.8
6.9
3.6
1.4
0.4
3
3.7
5.8
4.5
2.4
0.9
0.3
4
1.8
2.8
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.1
5
0.7
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.