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Saturday 11 February 2017, 14:30 Emirates Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
79% 14% 7%
Home win
79.0%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
7.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 79.0% 1.27
Draw 13.8% 7.27
Hull City 7.3% 13.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.04
Over 1.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.3% 8.13
Over 2.5 69.6% 1.44
Under 2.5 30.4% 3.28
Over 3.5 48.3% 2.07
Under 3.5 51.7% 1.93
Over 4.5 29.2% 3.43
Under 4.5 70.8% 1.41

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 92.7% 1.08
Arsenal / Hull City 86.2% 1.16
Draw / Hull City 21.0% 4.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
7.4
6.4
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
10.9
8.5
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
10.2
8.0
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
7.2
5.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
4.0
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.