Tuesday 3 January 2017, 21:45
Vitality Stadium
Full time
25%
24%
51%
Home win
25.4%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
50.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Arsenal | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
7.5
|
7.6
|
4.7
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
10.9
|
9.6
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.5
|
6.1
|
3.8
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.8
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
2-3
Arsenal
May 2025
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2024
Bournemouth
2-0
Arsenal
May 2024
Arsenal
3-0
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-4
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.