Saturday 10 December 2016, 17:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
75%
16%
9%
Home win
74.6%
Draw
16.1%
Away win
9.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 9.3% | 10.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Stoke City | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
7.6
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.1
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.1
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.