Saturday 13 May 2017, 19:30
bet365 Stadium
Full time
27%
26%
47%
Home win
26.9%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
46.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Arsenal | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
9.5
|
8.1
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
12.5
|
9.4
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.3
|
6.8
|
5.4
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.6
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.