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Sunday 30 April 2017, 18:30 White Hart Lane Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
66% 20% 13%
Home win
66.4%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
13.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 66.4% 1.51
Draw 20.2% 4.94
Arsenal 13.4% 7.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.76
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.32
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92
No 47.9% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 86.6% 1.15
Tottenham / Arsenal 79.8% 1.25
Draw / Arsenal 33.6% 2.98

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
3.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
9.8
9.6
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.2
9.8
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
8.1
7.1
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.4
3.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.9
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.