Saturday 8 April 2017, 14:30
White Hart Lane
Full time
79%
14%
6%
Home win
79.5%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
6.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
| Watford | 6.2% | 16.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Watford | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
6.8
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
8.4
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.7
|
7.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.6
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Watford
0-1
Tottenham
Aug 2021
Tottenham
1-0
Watford
Jan 2020
Watford
0-0
Tottenham
Oct 2019
Tottenham
1-1
Watford
Jan 2019
Tottenham
2-1
Watford
Sep 2018
Watford
2-1
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.