Tuesday 4 April 2017, 21:45
Vicarage Road
Full time
34%
28%
38%
Home win
34.2%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
37.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.57 | — | — |
| West Brom | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Watford / West Brom | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
9.3
|
6.7
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
13.4
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
7.9
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
3.3
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.