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Saturday 25 February 2017, 19:30 Vicarage Road Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
43% 25% 32%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
32.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford 42.6% 2.35
Draw 25.0% 4.00
West Ham 32.4% 3.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.22
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.56
Over 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.4% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.7% 1.59
Over 4.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 4.5 80.0% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.2% 1.61
No 37.8% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford / Draw 67.6% 1.48
Watford / West Ham 75.0% 1.33
Draw / West Ham 57.4% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
5.8
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
1
6.9
11.5
7.7
3.7
1.3
0.4
2
6.3
9.0
6.4
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
3.5
5.0
3.5
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.5
2.1
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Watford goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.