Saturday 11 February 2017, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
64%
23%
13%
Home win
64.2%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
13.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Watford | 13.1% | 7.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Watford | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
10.7
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.1
|
9.5
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2022
Manchester United
0-0
Watford
Nov 2021
Watford
4-1
Manchester United
Feb 2020
Manchester United
3-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
2-0
Manchester United
Mar 2019
Manchester United
2-1
Watford
Sep 2018
Watford
1-2
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.