Skip to content
Sunday 5 February 2017, 18:00 King Power Stadium Full time
24% 29% 47%
Home win
24.1%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
46.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 24.1% 4.15
Draw 29.1% 3.43
Manchester United 46.8% 2.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.02
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.6% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.5% 5.13
Under 3.5 80.5% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.43
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.1% 2.22
No 54.9% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 53.2% 1.88
Leicester / Manchester United 70.9% 1.41
Draw / Manchester United 75.9% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
13.3
9.6
4.4
1.5
0.4
1
8.6
13.5
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
4.2
5.8
3.9
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.3
1.7
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.