Skip to content
Saturday 31 December 2016, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
48% 24% 28%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
27.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 47.9% 2.09
Draw 24.5% 4.09
West Ham 27.6% 3.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.35
Over 1.5 82.1% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.9% 5.58
Over 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.4% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.6% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 4.5 79.9% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.4% 1.63
No 38.6% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 72.4% 1.38
Leicester / West Ham 75.5% 1.32
Draw / West Ham 52.1% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
5.3
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.1
1
7.4
11.2
6.9
3.0
1.0
0.3
2
7.2
9.4
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
4.3
5.6
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
1.9
2.5
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.