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Wednesday 14 December 2016, 21:45 London Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
51% 25% 23%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
23.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 51.0% 1.96
Draw 25.5% 3.92
Burnley 23.5% 4.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.07
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.35
Over 1.5 77.0% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.0% 4.35
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.09
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.33
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.79
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.84
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 76.5% 1.31
West Ham / Burnley 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Burnley 49.0% 2.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
6.1
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
9.9
12.1
6.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
9.0
9.7
5.2
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
5.1
5.4
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.1
2.3
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Burnley goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.