Saturday 5 November 2016, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
40%
29%
31%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
30.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Burnley / Crystal Palace | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
9.1
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.7
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
8.5
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
3.7
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Crystal Palace
2-3
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
3-0
Burnley
Nov 2023
Burnley
0-2
Crystal Palace
Feb 2022
Crystal Palace
1-1
Burnley
Nov 2021
Burnley
3-3
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.