Monday 26 September 2016, 22:00
Turf Moor
Full time
22%
25%
52%
Home win
22.4%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
52.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Watford | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Burnley / Watford | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
10.1
|
9.3
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
12.0
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
5.9
|
5.1
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.1
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Feb 2022
Burnley
0-0
Watford
Jun 2020
Burnley
1-0
Watford
Nov 2019
Watford
0-3
Burnley
Jan 2019
Watford
0-0
Burnley
Aug 2018
Burnley
1-3
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.