Saturday 17 September 2016, 17:00
King Power Stadium
Full time
29%
33%
38%
Home win
29.0%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
38.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Burnley | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.0% | 6.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.5% | 7.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.9% | 20.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Leicester / Burnley | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.0
|
14.3
|
8.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
14.2
|
7.2
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
6.0
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Burnley
0-2
Leicester
Sep 2021
Leicester
2-2
Burnley
Mar 2021
Burnley
1-1
Leicester
Sep 2020
Leicester
4-2
Burnley
Jan 2020
Burnley
2-1
Leicester
Oct 2019
Leicester
2-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.