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Saturday 27 August 2016, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
10% 76% 14%
Home win
10.4%
Draw
75.7%
Away win
13.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 10.4% 9.66
Draw 75.7% 1.32
Swansea 13.9% 7.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 26.0% 3.84
Under 0.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 1.5 3.9% 25.94
Under 1.5 96.1% 1.04
Over 2.5 0.4% 271.00
Under 2.5 99.6% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0% 3,571.43
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 50,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 2.0% 49.07
No 98.0% 1.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 86.1% 1.16
Leicester / Swansea 24.3% 4.12
Draw / Swansea 89.6% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
74.0
12.6
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.6
1.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.