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Sunday 12 February 2017, 18:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 2–0
45% 25% 30%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
30.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 45.1% 2.22
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Leicester 30.2% 3.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.64
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.66
Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Over 3.5 37.8% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.2% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.4% 4.91
Under 4.5 79.6% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.3% 1.61
No 37.7% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 69.8% 1.43
Swansea / Leicester 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Leicester 54.9% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
5.5
4.3
2.0
0.7
0.2
1
7.1
11.3
7.4
3.4
1.2
0.3
2
6.7
9.2
6.4
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
3.8
5.3
3.7
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.7
2.3
1.6
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.