Saturday 14 January 2017, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
15%
18%
67%
Home win
15.1%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
66.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.1% | 9.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Swansea / Arsenal | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
5.8
|
7.9
|
6.7
|
4.3
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
2.4
|
7.7
|
9.2
|
7.8
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
| 2 |
1.7
|
4.2
|
5.4
|
4.6
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.6
|
2.1
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.