Wednesday 14 December 2016, 22:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
64%
21%
15%
Home win
63.6%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
15.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Swansea | 15.3% | 6.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| West Brom / Swansea | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
10.0
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.9
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
6.9
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.