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Saturday 3 December 2016, 17:00 White Hart Lane Full time
5–0
HT 2–0
70% 20% 10%
Home win
69.9%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
10.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 69.9% 1.43
Draw 19.6% 5.10
Swansea 10.5% 9.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.63
Over 1.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.0% 4.55
Over 2.5 53.9% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.1% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.6% 3.17
Under 3.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.8% 6.33
Under 4.5 84.2% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 89.5% 1.12
Tottenham / Swansea 80.4% 1.24
Draw / Swansea 30.1% 3.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
3.6
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
12.0
9.3
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.3
9.4
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
9.5
6.7
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
5.1
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.