Saturday 22 October 2016, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
34%
25%
41%
Home win
34.2%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
41.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Watford | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Swansea / Watford | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
6.3
|
5.8
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
5.6
|
11.1
|
8.8
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
7.9
|
6.6
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
4.0
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.