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Sunday 16 October 2016, 15:30 Riverside Full time
39% 24% 36%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
36.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 39.4% 2.54
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Watford 36.1% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.35
Over 1.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.8% 6.32
Over 2.5 63.1% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 3.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 3.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 4.5 77.1% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.1% 1.54
No 34.9% 2.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 63.9% 1.57
Middlesbrough / Watford 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Watford 60.6% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
5.5
4.9
2.6
1.0
0.3
1
5.8
10.8
8.1
4.3
1.7
0.5
2
5.4
8.5
6.8
3.6
1.4
0.5
3
3.0
4.7
3.8
2.0
0.8
0.3
4
1.2
2.0
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Watford goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.