Saturday 1 October 2016, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
55%
25%
20%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
20.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Watford / Bournemouth | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
5.6
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
11.8
|
5.4
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
9.8
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
5.8
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Bournemouth
0-3
Watford
Oct 2019
Watford
0-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2019
Bournemouth
3-3
Watford
Oct 2018
Watford
0-4
Bournemouth
Mar 2018
Watford
2-2
Bournemouth
Aug 2017
Bournemouth
0-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.