Saturday 6 October 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
44%
25%
31%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
31.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Watford / Bournemouth | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
6.0
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
11.7
|
7.5
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
9.1
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
5.0
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Bournemouth
0-3
Watford
Oct 2019
Watford
0-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2019
Bournemouth
3-3
Watford
Mar 2018
Watford
2-2
Bournemouth
Aug 2017
Bournemouth
0-2
Watford
Jan 2017
Bournemouth
2-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.