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Saturday 25 August 2018, 17:00 Vitality Stadium Full time
41% 26% 33%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
32.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 41.5% 2.41
Draw 25.7% 3.90
Everton 32.8% 3.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.22
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.08
Over 2.5 57.0% 1.75
Under 2.5 43.0% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 3.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.0% 5.56
Under 4.5 82.0% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.3% 1.66
No 39.7% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 67.2% 1.49
Bournemouth / Everton 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Everton 58.5% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
6.4
4.9
2.3
0.8
0.2
1
7.4
11.9
7.8
3.6
1.3
0.3
2
6.4
8.9
6.2
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
3.4
4.7
3.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
4
1.3
1.9
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.