Sunday 13 May 2018, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
46%
28%
25%
Home win
46.1%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
25.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Burnley / Bournemouth | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
8.2
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
13.4
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Burnley
0-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
1-1
Burnley
Mar 2024
Burnley
0-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2023
Bournemouth
2-1
Burnley
Feb 2020
Burnley
3-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2019
Bournemouth
0-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.