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Saturday 28 April 2018, 17:00 Turf Moor Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
48% 31% 20%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
20.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley 48.5% 2.06
Draw 31.2% 3.20
Brighton 20.3% 4.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.1% 1.18
Under 0.5 14.9% 6.70
Over 1.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Under 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.5% 7.43
Under 3.5 86.5% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.61
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.8% 2.71
No 63.2% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley / Draw 79.7% 1.25
Burnley / Brighton 68.8% 1.45
Draw / Brighton 51.5% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.9
9.3
3.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.9
13.2
4.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.0
7.8
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
4.6
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.4
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Burnley goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.