Saturday 7 April 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
35%
31%
34%
Home win
34.9%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
34.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Burnley | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Watford / Burnley | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
11.3
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
14.2
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
7.4
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Feb 2022
Burnley
0-0
Watford
Jun 2020
Burnley
1-0
Watford
Nov 2019
Watford
0-3
Burnley
Jan 2019
Watford
0-0
Burnley
Aug 2018
Burnley
1-3
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.