Saturday 3 March 2018, 14:30
Turf Moor
Full time
37%
32%
31%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
31.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Everton | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.3% | 7.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.7% | 6.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Burnley / Everton | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.3
|
11.5
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
14.3
|
6.6
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
7.4
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
2-0
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-0
Everton
Apr 2024
Everton
1-0
Burnley
Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Everton
Apr 2022
Burnley
3-2
Everton
Sep 2021
Everton
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.