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Saturday 10 February 2018, 17:00 Goodison Park Full time
54% 25% 21%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
21.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 53.7% 1.86
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Crystal Palace 21.4% 4.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.46
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.37
Over 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.2% 3.31
Under 3.5 69.8% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.8% 6.75
Under 4.5 85.2% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.6% 1.86
No 46.4% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 78.6% 1.27
Everton / Crystal Palace 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Crystal Palace 46.3% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
5.7
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
10.3
11.9
5.7
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.6
9.8
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
5.6
5.7
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
2.4
2.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.