Tuesday 2 January 2018, 21:45
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
44%
29%
26%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
26.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Southampton / Crystal Palace | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
9.0
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
13.7
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
8.6
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
3.8
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Southampton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
2-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
0-2
Crystal Palace
Oct 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2022
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2021
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.