Tuesday 26 December 2017, 14:30
Wembley Stadium
Full time
73%
18%
8%
Home win
73.5%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
8.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.5% | 5.42 | — | — |
| Southampton | 8.1% | 12.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Southampton | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
8.6
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.1
|
8.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.9
|
6.3
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.9
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Tottenham
3-1
Southampton
Dec 2024
Southampton
0-5
Tottenham
Mar 2023
Southampton
3-3
Tottenham
Aug 2022
Tottenham
4-1
Southampton
Feb 2022
Tottenham
2-3
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
1-1
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.