Sunday 10 December 2017, 14:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
25%
27%
48%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
48.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 7.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Southampton / Arsenal | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
10.6
|
8.8
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.7
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
6.4
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Southampton
1-2
Arsenal
Oct 2024
Arsenal
3-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Arsenal
3-3
Southampton
Oct 2022
Southampton
1-1
Arsenal
Apr 2022
Southampton
1-0
Arsenal
Dec 2021
Arsenal
3-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.